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dc.contributor.authorKiviluoto, Katariina
dc.contributor.authorTapio, Petri
dc.contributor.authorAhokas, Ira
dc.contributor.authorAittasalo, Minna
dc.contributor.authorKokko, Sami
dc.contributor.authorVasankari, Tommi
dc.contributor.authorTuominen, Anu
dc.contributor.authorPaloniemi, Riikka
dc.contributor.authorSandberg, Birgitta
dc.contributor.authorHurmerinta, Leila
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-17T09:29:13Z
dc.date.available2022-10-17T09:29:13Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.identifier.citationKiviluoto, K., Tapio, P., Ahokas, I., Aittasalo, M., Kokko, S., Vasankari, T., Tuominen, A., Paloniemi, R., Sandberg, B., & Hurmerinta, L. (2022). Mismatch, Empowerment, Fatigue or Balance? Four scenarios of physical activity up to 2030 in Finland. <i>Futures</i>, <i>144</i>, Article 103036. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2022.103036" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2022.103036</a>
dc.identifier.otherCONVID_156819145
dc.identifier.urihttps://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/83568
dc.description.abstractSedentary lifestyles and the lack of physical activity (PA) are a major concern among all age groups, and current generations tend to be less fit than the previous ones in the Western World. At the same time, there is an urgent need to cut transport-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Major gains can be foreseen if current car-centred lifestyles and sedentary behaviour are addressed from an integrated perspective. In this study, we explore future scenarios in the intersections of PA and active lifestyles as well as related environmental and health benefits in Finland. We used a disaggregative Delphi approach to examine the topic. Although frequently used in health-related research, Delphi has rarely been used in exploring alternative futures or non-consensus. The study design was based on a mixed-methods approach where we combined both qualitative and quantitative data analysis. Building on the experts’ perceptions on alternative futures, we formulated four scenarios for PA up to 2030, which we named Mismatch, Empowerment, Fatigue and Balance. The scenarios may be utilised as guides in developing future policies and decision-making, and to build better futures. Our scenarios demonstrate that alternatives do exist, and actions can be realigned with the positive scenarios of Empowerment and Balance. The physically inactive scenarios of Mismatch and Fatigue represent avoidable scenarios.en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.ispartofseriesFutures
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0
dc.subject.otherphysical activity
dc.subject.otheractive travel
dc.subject.otheractive lifestyles
dc.subject.otherscenarios
dc.subject.otherDelphimixed-methods
dc.titleMismatch, Empowerment, Fatigue or Balance? Four scenarios of physical activity up to 2030 in Finland
dc.typearticle
dc.identifier.urnURN:NBN:fi:jyu-202210174888
dc.contributor.laitosLiikuntatieteellinen tiedekuntafi
dc.contributor.laitosFaculty of Sport and Health Sciencesen
dc.contributor.oppiaineTerveyskasvatusfi
dc.contributor.oppiaineHealth Promotion and Health Educationen
dc.type.urihttp://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle
dc.type.coarhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.description.reviewstatuspeerReviewed
dc.relation.issn0016-3287
dc.relation.volume144
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion
dc.rights.copyright© 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
dc.rights.accesslevelopenAccessfi
dc.relation.grantnumber320403
dc.subject.ysofyysinen aktiivisuus
dc.subject.ysoterveys
dc.subject.ysoelämäntapa
dc.subject.ysotulevaisuudentutkimus
dc.subject.ysodelfoimenetelmä
dc.subject.ysoskenaariot
dc.subject.ysoelintavat
dc.subject.ysoterveyden edistäminen
dc.subject.ysohyvinvointi
dc.format.contentfulltext
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p23102
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p2762
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p8760
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p2890
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p9964
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p3296
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p5530
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p12732
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p1947
dc.rights.urlhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.relation.doi10.1016/j.futures.2022.103036
dc.relation.funderResearch Council of Finlanden
dc.relation.funderSuomen Akatemiafi
jyx.fundingprogramStrategic research programmes, AoFen
jyx.fundingprogramStrategisen tutkimuksen ohjelmat STN, SAfi
jyx.fundinginformationStrategic Research Council at the Academy of Finland (Project numbers 320399, 320402, 320404, 320403, 320400) is gratefully acknowledged for funding.
dc.type.okmA1


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