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dc.contributor.authorHeiskanen, Aleksi
dc.contributor.authorHurmekoski, Elias
dc.contributor.authorToppinen, Anne
dc.contributor.authorNäyhä, Annukka
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-30T11:28:08Z
dc.date.available2021-11-30T11:28:08Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.identifier.citationHeiskanen, A., Hurmekoski, E., Toppinen, A., & Näyhä, A. (2022). Exploring the unknowns : State of the art in qualitative forest-based sector foresight research. <i>Forest Policy and Economics</i>, <i>135</i>, Article 102643. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2021.102643" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2021.102643</a>
dc.identifier.otherCONVID_102268181
dc.identifier.urihttps://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/78833
dc.description.abstractThe forest-based sector is facing one the greatest transitions in its history in the face of global megatrends. Globalization, sustainability challenges and the ICT sector have put the world in a new light. Whereas some of the recent developments have resulted in challenges for the traditional forest industry, many positive expectations and opportunities are also seen to arise in the form of the transition to a sustainable bio-economy. However, to be able to fully seize the opportunity, the industry has to navigate through contingency where preparedness can have a major impact. Foresight as a strategic approach can help to prepare and sensitize decision-makers to be prepared for the future. Foresight is a process aimed at understanding the various and alternative developments of the future better. In this review, we aim to find out what the state-of-the-art of qualitative foresight in the context of forest-based sector is. Forest sector foresight remains a nascent stream in peer-reviewed literature despite the small increase in articles since 2010. Foresight has been applied relatively evenly across the sub-sectors, attention having been predominantly on adaptive approaches. Foresight studies could be classified based on their objectives and types of output into three main categories: Identifying Drivers and Trends, Management of Change and Visioning. Notably, almost all the scientific foresight literature deals with sectoral level, and lacks organisational points of view. Foresight could also provide an opportunity to include stakeholder engagement beyond business-as-usual, which seems to remain currently relatively marginal. The findings suggests that foresight in the forest sector is not entirely novel, but still developing. Many opportunities to fully capture the potential lie ahead and micro level perspectives could be enhanced in the literature.en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.ispartofseriesForest Policy and Economics
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0
dc.subject.otherForesight
dc.subject.otherForest-based sector
dc.subject.otherTransition
dc.subject.otherAdaptive management
dc.titleExploring the unknowns : State of the art in qualitative forest-based sector foresight research
dc.typearticle
dc.identifier.urnURN:NBN:fi:jyu-202111305837
dc.contributor.laitosKauppakorkeakoulufi
dc.contributor.laitosSchool of Business and Economicsen
dc.contributor.oppiaineResurssiviisausyhteisöfi
dc.contributor.oppiaineSustainable Businessfi
dc.contributor.oppiaineYritysten ympäristöjohtaminenfi
dc.contributor.oppiaineKestävä liiketoiminta ja talous (painoala)fi
dc.contributor.oppiaineBasic or discovery scholarshipfi
dc.contributor.oppiaineSchool of Resource Wisdomen
dc.contributor.oppiaineSustainable Businessen
dc.contributor.oppiaineCorporate Environmental Managementen
dc.contributor.oppiaineSustainable Business and Economy (focus area)en
dc.contributor.oppiaineBasic or discovery scholarshipen
dc.type.urihttp://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle
dc.type.coarhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bc
dc.description.reviewstatuspeerReviewed
dc.relation.issn1389-9341
dc.relation.volume135
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion
dc.rights.copyright© 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
dc.rights.accesslevelopenAccessfi
dc.subject.ysoennusteet
dc.subject.ysometsäala
dc.subject.ysometsäteollisuus
dc.subject.ysoliiketoimintaympäristö
dc.subject.ysosystemaattiset kirjallisuuskatsaukset
dc.subject.ysotaloudelliset ennusteet
dc.format.contentfulltext
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p3297
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p7691
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p10705
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p6104
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p29683
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p16768
dc.rights.urlhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.relation.doi10.1016/j.forpol.2021.102643
jyx.fundinginformationHeiskanen gratefully acknowledges the financial support received from Metsämiesten Säätiö Foundation to enable this work.
dc.type.okmA2


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