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dc.contributor.authorEyvindson, Kyle
dc.contributor.authorSaad, Rami
dc.contributor.authorEriksson, Ljusk Ola
dc.date.accessioned2018-01-25T12:10:15Z
dc.date.available2018-01-25T12:10:15Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.identifier.citationEyvindson, K., Saad, R., & Eriksson, L. O. (2017). Incorporating stand level risk management options into forest decision support systems. <i>Forest Systems</i>, <i>26</i>(3), e013. <a href="https://doi.org/10.5424/fs/2017263-10445" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.5424/fs/2017263-10445</a>
dc.identifier.otherCONVID_27352202
dc.identifier.otherTUTKAID_75694
dc.identifier.urihttps://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/56903
dc.description.abstractAim of study: To examine methods of incorporating risk and uncertainty to stand level forest decisions. Area of study: A case study examines a small forest holding from Jönköping, Sweden. Material and methods: We incorporate empirically estimated uncertainty into the simulation through a Monte Carlo approach when simulating the forest stands for the next 100 years. For the iterations of the Monte Carlo approach, errors were incorporated into the input data which was simulated according to the Heureka decision support system. Both the Value at Risk and the Conditional Value at Risk of the net present value are evaluated for each simulated stand. Main results: Visual representation of the errors can be used to highlight which decision would be most beneficial dependent on the decision maker’s opinion of the forest inventory results. At a stand level, risk preferences can be rather easily incorporated into the current forest decision support software. Research highlights: Forest management operates under uncertainty and risk. Methods are available to describe this risk in an understandable fashion for the decision maker.
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherInstituto Nacional de Investigación y Tecnología Agraria y Alimentaria
dc.relation.ispartofseriesForest Systems
dc.subject.otherrisk preferences
dc.subject.otherinventory error
dc.subject.othervalue at risk
dc.subject.otherconditional value at risk
dc.titleIncorporating stand level risk management options into forest decision support systems
dc.typearticle
dc.identifier.urnURN:NBN:fi:jyu-201801241320
dc.contributor.laitosBio- ja ympäristötieteiden laitosfi
dc.contributor.laitosDepartment of Biological and Environmental Scienceen
dc.contributor.oppiaineEkologia ja evoluutiobiologiafi
dc.contributor.oppiaineEcology and Evolutionary Biologyen
dc.type.urihttp://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle
dc.date.updated2018-01-24T13:15:14Z
dc.type.coarjournal article
dc.description.reviewstatuspeerReviewed
dc.format.pagerangee013
dc.relation.issn2171-5068
dc.relation.numberinseries3
dc.relation.volume26
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion
dc.rights.copyright© 2017 INIA. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons License.
dc.rights.accesslevelopenAccessfi
dc.subject.ysometsänhoito
dc.subject.ysoriskit
dc.subject.ysoriskianalyysi
dc.subject.ysometsänkäsittely
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p7534
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p11099
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p3131
jyx.subject.urihttp://www.yso.fi/onto/yso/p27050
dc.rights.urlhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/deed.en
dc.relation.doi10.5424/fs/2017263-10445


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© 2017 INIA. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons License.
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as © 2017 INIA. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons License.