Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change
Abrego, N., Roslin, T., Huotari, T., Ji, Y., Schmidt, N. M., Wang, J., Yu, D. W., & Ovaskainen, O. (2021). Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change. Ecography, 44(6), 885-896. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547
Julkaistu sarjassa
EcographyTekijät
Päivämäärä
2021Tekijänoikeudet
© 2021 The Authors. Ecography published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Nordic Society Oikos
Species interactions are known to structure ecological communities. Still, the influence of climate change on biodiversity has primarily been evaluated by correlating individual species distributions with local climatic descriptors, then extrapolating into future climate scenarios. We ask whether predictions on arctic arthropod response to climate change can be improved by accounting for species interactions. For this, we use a 14‐year‐long, weekly time series from Greenland, resolved to the species level by mitogenome mapping. During the study period, temperature increased by 2°C and arthropod species richness halved. We show that with abiotic variables alone, we are essentially unable to predict species responses, but with species interactions included, the predictive power of the models improves considerably. Cascading trophic effects thereby emerge as important in structuring biodiversity response to climate change. Given the need to scale up from species‐level to community‐level projections of biodiversity change, these results represent a major step forward for predictive ecology.
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Wiley-BlackwellISSN Hae Julkaisufoorumista
0906-7590Asiasanat
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https://converis.jyu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/52590639
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We received funding from the Academy of Finland (grants 276909 and 285803 to TR, grants 284601 and 309571 to OO and grant 308651 to NA), the Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation Grant (OO and TR), the Research Council of Norway through its Centres of Excellence Funding Scheme (223257) to OO via Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics. We are indebted to the Danish Environmental Protection Agency for funding BioBasis Zackenberg over the years, and to the many field and lab assistants over the years. DWY and YQJ were supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41661144002, 31670536, 31400470, 31500305), the Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences, CAS (QYZDY‐SSW‐SMC024), the Bureau of International Cooperation (GJHZ1754), the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDA20050202, XDB31000000), the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2012FY110800), the State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution (GREKF18‐04) at the Kunming Institute of Zoology, the University of East Anglia and the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences. ...Lisenssi
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