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Pricing of Electricity Futures Based on Locational Price Differences : The Case of Finland

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Junttila, J., Myllymäki, V., & Raatikainen, J. (2018). Pricing of Electricity Futures Based on Locational Price Differences : The Case of Finland. Energy Economics, 71, 222-237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.02.018
Published in
Energy Economics
Authors
Junttila, Juha |
Myllymäki, Valtteri |
Raatikainen, Juhani
Date
2018
Discipline
Basic or discovery scholarshipTaloustiedeBasic or discovery scholarshipEconomics
Copyright
© 2018 Elsevier B.V. This is a final draft version of an article whose final and definitive form has been published by Elsevier. Published in this repository with the kind permission of the publisher.

 
We find that the pricing of Finnish electricity market futures has been inefficient during the latest 10 years, when the trading volumes of Electricity Price Area Differentials (EPADs) have more than doubled. Even though the calculated futures premium on EPADs is related to some risk measures and the variables capturing the demand and supply conditions in the spot electricity markets, there has been a significant positive excess futures premium in the Finnish market, and financial market participants should have been able to utilize this also in economic terms. This finding is new and relevant for the participants of the Nordic electricity markets also in the future, because both the speculative and hedging-based trading is increasing in the Nordic markets.
Publisher
Elsevier
ISSN Search the Publication Forum
0140-9883
Keywords
riskipreemio risk premium electricity futures EPAD Nordic electricity market Arbitrage sähkömarkkinat sähkö hinnoittelu riskit
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.02.018
URI

http://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:jyu-201803141726

Publication in research information system

https://converis.jyu.fi/converis/portal/detail/Publication/27927464

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